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Título del libro: Simultech 2013 - Proceedings Of The 3rd International Conference On Simulation And Modeling Methodologies, Technologies And Applications
Título del capítulo: A fuzzy cognitive map for México city's water availability system

Autores UNAM:
IVAN ALEJANDRO ORTIZ RODRIGUEZ; CARLOS GAY Y GARCIA;
Autores externos:

Idioma:
Inglés
Año de publicación:
2013
Palabras clave:

Adjacent matrix; Climatic scenarios; Cognitive maps; Fuzzy analysis; Fuzzy cognitive map; Hidden patterns; Water availability; Water system; Fuzzy rules; Fuzzy systems; Waterworks; Climate change


Resumen:

In the present work a fuzzy cognitive map was used to analyze México city's water system, to study the water availability and the system's response under different possible scenarios of climate change. The map includes the water sources and their availability, as well as climatic and social factors that affect the system. The map was built based on the analysis of the previous study "Vulnerabilidad de las fuentes de abastecimiento de agua potable de la Ciudad de Mexico en el contexto de cambio climático." ("Vulnerability of fresh water sources in Mexico city in the context of climate change") by Escolero (2009). Once the map was built, it was analyzed using the technique of vector state and adjacent matrix. First, the values of {0, 1} were used to find the "hidden patterns". Then, different weights were considered for the edges to analyze the system's sensibility to changes in the strength of the processes. Finally, to investigate the importance of different nodes over the water availability, the min - max criteria was used to propose implementations for possible solutions. In the analysis, considerations were made between climatic and social drivers, in order to assign the corresponding attributions for each kind.


Entidades citadas de la UNAM: