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Título del libro: Agent Based Modeling Simulation For Land Use Change And Cost-Benefit Analysis Of Land Management Policies

Autores UNAM:
ARMANDO SANCHEZ VARGAS; CARLOS GAY Y GARCIA; ANA LIZ HERRERA MERINO;
Autores externos:

Idioma:
Inglés
Año de publicación:
2016
Palabras clave:

Autonomous agents; Climate models; Computational methods; Economics; Land use; Natural resources management; Population statistics; Software agents; Urban growth; Agent-based model; Environmental characteristic; Individual behavior; Land managements; Optimal decisions; Population growth; Social welfare; Utility functions; Cost benefit analysis


Resumen:

This study shows the Simulation of an Agent Based Model for Land Use Change (SIMBACUS) developed on the Netlogo platform (Wilensky, 1999) for the period of 2010-2030. The model studies the interaction of individual behavior with environmental characteristics considering socioeconomic, demographic, climate and public policy aspects of Pachuca de Soto (Hidalgo). The simulation,s dynamism is based on population growth and the Cobb-Douglas utility function, which determines the optimal decisions of individuals. The results indicate that in 2030 the municipality would have 303,773 inhabitants, the urban area would grow to 21 km2 and the implementation of a land management program would have a positive impact on social welfare and the permanence of natural resources. © Copyright 2016 by SCITEPRESS - Science and Technology Publications, Lda. All rights reserved.


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