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SIIA Público
SISTEMA INTEGRAL DE INFORMACIÓN ACADÉMICA - PÚBLICO
Título del libro: Geotechnical Engineering In The Xxi Century: Lessons Learned And Future Challenges Título del capítulo: Updating Assessed Damage Probabilities for Deep Excavations in Soft Soils
Bayesian updating; damage probability; deep excavations; numerical-probabilistic analyses; serviceability limit state analysis; soft soils
Resumen:
This paper presents the results of Bayesian updating of assessed damage
probabilities for buildings adjacent to a deep excavation in soft soils.
The prediction of building behavior respect to a serviceability limit
state regards a damage potential index DPI, which depends on lateral
movement and ground settlement induced in buildings as the excavation
proceeds. Numerical analyses were performed on synthetic tridimensional
deep excavation finite element models, considering constitutive model
Hardening Soil Small Strain, and simulating two constitutive parameters
as random fields. Models response regarding DPI was used to have an
initial assessment of building damage probabilities for each neighboring
building and construction stage. Bayesian updating is used to enhance
initial predictions integrating DPI-based damage probabilities from
numerical models and DPI values from ground movements obtained using
semiempirical models KJHH and KSJH. Comparison of prior and updated
results show the improvement in performance predictions and a reduction
in parameter uncertainty.