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Título del libro: Extreme Events And Climate Change: A Multidisciplinary Approach
Título del capítulo: Simulation Model Based on Agents for Land Use Change and Cost-Benefit Analysis of Land Management Policies

Autores UNAM:
ARMANDO SANCHEZ VARGAS; DEBORA MARTINEZ VENTURA; CARLOS GAY Y GARCIA; ANA LIZ HERRERA MERINO; BERNARDO ADOLFO BASTIEN OLVERA;
Autores externos:

Idioma:

Año de publicación:
2021
Resumen:

This study shows the simulations resulting from a model based on agents for land use change (SIMBACUS in its Spanish acronym), which was developed on Netlogo's platform (Wilensky, 1999) for a medium-size municipality in Mexico for the period 2010?2030. The model studies the interactions of agents? behaviors with the characteristics of the environment, considering socioeconomic, demographic, and public policy aspects of Pachuca in the state of Hidalgo in Mexico. The dynamism of the simulation is based on population growth, which increases the demand for new land for urbanization, and a Cobb-Douglas utility function, which determines people's optimal decisions to settle on land suitable for urbanization. The results of our simulations indicate that the implementation of land regulation policies in Pachuca could have positive impacts on households? well-being and cause the growth of urban areas to occur in a more orderly manner. © 2021 John Wiley & Sons, Inc.


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